Wednesday, September 14, 2011

U.S. summer gasoline demand lowest since 2003 - Reuters

Wed Sep 14, 2011 2:57pm EDT

* Gasoline use averaged 9.17 million bpd this summer
* Demand lowest since 2003, 1.8 pct lower than 2010
* Gasoline prices averaged $3.62/gallon this summer
(Recasts, adds details)
By Selam Gebrekidan
NEW YORK, Sept 14 (Reuters) - U.S. drivers curbed travel this summer as
high pump prices pushed gasoline use to an eight-year low, government data
showed on Wednesday.
Motorists in the world's largest oil consumer pumped an average of 9.17
million barrels a day from the first week of June to the first week of
September, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed.
Demand throughout the summer fell 1.8 percent from a year earlier,
according to Reuters calculations based on four-week average consumption
over the 14 weeks of summer.
 (Graphic comparing demand with price: link.reuters.com/hen73s)
Consumers refrained from spending on the fuel in reaction to escalating
fuel costs after an oil-price rally from late February through May
threatened to push gasoline above $4 per gallon.
That didn't quite happen, as oil prices came off their highs in May.
Still, a gallon of regular gasoline on average went for $3.62 this summer,
up $1 from a year earlier, EIA data showed.
In June, motorists rushed to the open road, emboldened by falling -- if
still high -- prices. June gasoline demand was the highest in two years.
But prices again rose in July and by August, many consumers had
canceled vacations and parked their cars, leading to the lowest gasoline
demand average for that month since 2001.
Demand also disappointed over the Labor Day weekend. Weekly demand fell
2.4 percent last week, including on the last three days of the holiday
weekend when travelers usually pump more fuel, compared with the previous
week, data from MasterCard showed on Tuesday. [O/MC]
"The decline was probably higher and more persistent than most
expected," said Lawrence Eagles, analyst at JP Morgan Chase.
Weak economic conditions and high prices weighed down on summer
gasoline demand which relies on discretionary driving. But as we head into
the winter months, when people are likely to drive to their jobs or the
grocery store than to the beach, the year-over-year demand losses will be
moderate, Eagles added.
Gasoline demand last week, which includes the last three days of the
Labor Day weekend fell
The government data on Wednesday also showed a 1.94-million-barrel
build in gasoline stocks last week, against forecasts for a 500,000-barrel
drawdown -- entrenching worries about demand and the general economy.
U.S. gasoline futures slumped more than 2 percent to a five-week low
after the release of the data.
 (Additional reporting by Gene Ramos)


Saturday, September 10, 2011

Crude Oil Drops Most in a Week as Euro Tumbles on European Debt Crisis



Bloomberg -- Oil dropped the most in a week in New York as the euro tumbled against the dollar on concern that Greece’s deteriorating debt crisis will lead to a default.
Oil fell 2 percent after Europe’s single currency declined to a six-month low and European bank and sovereign credit risk surged to all-time highs. A plan for jobs growth announced yesterday by President Barack Obama failed to boost confidence in the U.S., the world’s largest economy.
“The concerns out of Europe and the positive relationship between oil prices and the euro are the catalyst,” said Stephen Schork, president of the Schork Group Inc., an energy advisory company in Villanova, Pennsylvania. “The euro is getting crushed and putting pressure on all our markets right now.”
Crude for October delivery dropped $1.81 to settle at $87.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices rose 0.9 percent this week, the third consecutive advance. Futures have fallen 4.5 percent this year.
Brent crude for October settlement declined $1.78, or 1.6 percent, to $112.77 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. Brent’s premium to Nymex-traded West Texas Intermediate rose 3 cents to $25.53.
The euro fell 1.5 percent to $1.3669 at 3:23 p.m. in New York, the lowest level since February. A weaker euro and stronger dollar curb commodities’ appeal as an alternative to the U.S. currency. The euro has plummeted 3.8 percent this week.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government is preparing plans to shore up German banks in the event Greece fails to meet the terms of its aid package and defaults, three coalition officials said.
Stark’s Resignation
Juergen Stark of Germany resigned from the European Central Bank’s Executive Board today after protesting the bank’s bond purchases on a conference call earlier in the week, said a euro area bank official familiar with the meeting. The purchase program was expanded last month when the ECB started buying Italian and Spanish bonds.
“When Stark stepped down, that signaled the possibility of more German opposition to bailing out Greece,” said Phil Flynn, vice president of research at PFGBest in Chicago. “Oil is pricing the increasing odds of demand destruction on the European concerns and following the president’s speech last night.”
Obama challenged Congress to pass a $447 billion jobs plan “right away” to boost spending on infrastructure, stem teacher layoffs and halve payroll taxes paid by workers and small- business owners. He addressed a joint session of Congress yesterday and campaigned for the plan today in Virginia.
U.S. Economy
The president’s remarks came after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday stopped short of outlining new plans to revive growth.
“Bernanke didn’t give any further insight into stimulus measures, and Obama’s speech has been received very tepidly, which continues to weigh on concerns about the U.S. economy,” said Matt Smith, a commodities analyst for Summit Energy Services Inc. in Louisville, Kentucky.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 2.7 percent to 1,154.23 at 4:03 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.7 percent to 10,992.13.
Oil also declined on signals that Libya may export a crude- oil cargo this month for the first time since March from the country’s west. The holder of Africa’s biggest oil reserves is rebuilding production which plunged 97 percent during an armed conflict to depose ruler Muammar Qaddafi, based on Bloomberg News output estimates.
Libyan Exports
“There are two critical factors dominating the outlook for the oil markets at this time, what global economic developments are doing to demand and the prospects for a pickup in Libyan oil exports,” according to a report published today by Deutsche Bank analysts including Adam Sieminski, the company’s Washington-based chief energy economist.
An 80,000-metric-ton cargo of crude is being offered for shipment from the port of Mellitah this month, three people with direct knowledge of the transaction said yesterday. The oil, equal to 600,000 barrels, will be loaded from Sept. 15 to 17, the people said, declining to be identified because the consignment has yet to be publicly announced.
Oil also declined as the National Hurricane Center forecast that Tropical Storm Nate will move toward the Mexican coast, missing the biggest U.S. oil-producing region in the Gulf or Mexico. Nate was 150 miles (240 kilometers) west of Campeche, Mexico, at about 2 p.m. New York time.
Fourteen of 28 analysts, or 50 percent of those in a Bloomberg News survey, forecast oil prices will decline next week amid heightened concern that global economic growth is slowing. Seven respondents, or 25 percent, predicted prices will increase and seven estimated there will be little change. Last week, 50 percent of surveyed analysts projected a drop.
Oil volume in electronic trading on the Nymex was 597,732 contracts as of 3:24 p.m. in New York. Volume totaled 790,112 contracts yesterday, 16 percent above the average of the past three months. Open interest was 1.5 million contracts.